Gator Bowl
West Virginia (-2.5) vs. Florida State
The Seminoles are here only because Bobby Bowden is coaching his last game and he wanted a game in Florida. It will mean a great deal to him that he is playing against the other school he is known for coaching is his illustrious career. But this year the Mountaineers are the better team and should handle everything Florida State can throw at them. QB Jarrett Brown and RB Noel Devine will be too much to handle for the Noles, while the WV defense has been steady all year and will be able to control the FSU offense without QB Christian Ponder. Give the points and hope the sentimental favorite Bobby Bowden does not end on a winning note. West Virginia 27 - Florida State 21
Capitol One Bowl (Citrus Bowl)
LSU (+2) vs. Penn State
The Bayou Bengals have had chances to have a great season but couldn't pull off the upset of Alabama and Les Miles threw away a win against Ole Miss. Now they find themselves in Orlando as underdogs to the Nittany Lions. But Penn State has not been impressive against good competition, losing to Ohio State and Iowa in Happy Valley in their only real big games of the year. Still, Joe Paterno got another 10 win season in what was thought to be a weak Big 10. Les Miles wins bowl games, as he is 4-0 as head coach at LSU, with the 14 point win over Ohio State in the National Championship game the lowest margin of victory. Having said that I think you would have to be crazy to think LSU does not have a great chance in this game. They will play swarming defense with a month to prepare for the Penn State attack and their offense should be good enough to put a few big plays together with WRs Brandon LaFell and Terrance Tolliver leading the way with QB Jordan Jefferson. Expect Les Miles to be charming his way through the postgame interviews and the LSU faithful to have a Happy New Year's in Orlando. LSU 24 - Penn State 16
Rose Bowl - The Grand Daddy of them All
Oregon (-3.5) vs. Ohio State
This will be both coaches first Rose Bowl, with Jim Tressell playing in his 7th BCS game. Oregon fought through tremendous adversity to get to this point and I'm sure will savor every minute of the pregame festivities and hoopla. But both teams will be ready come kickoff with conference and school pride on the line. Great matchups can be found all over the field, but none more so than the QB position. Terrelle Pryor was expected to do what Jeremiah Masoli has done this year with Oregon, that is be a dual threat QB that contends for the Heisman. If Pryor had a great year this team easily could have been undefeated, but as it is the offense sputtered in big games behind Tressell's conservative play calling and Pryor's mistakes and turnovers. For Oregon their only losses were to Boise State and Stanford on the road with both teams playing their best games. The Ducks outlasted Arizona and Oregon State to lay claim to the Pac 10 with amazing fourth quarters and are never out of a game with their quick-strike ability on offense and play-making defense. The game could come down to which style prevails, that of the conservative, defense and run-first Buckeyers, or the big play, hurry-up attack of the Ducks. Oregon was able to tire out most defenses with their quick pace and relentless style while Ohio State wore down teams with a nasty defense. It is a welcome sight to have a team other than USC representing the Pac 10 and to see the Buckeyes get a chance at the classic Rose Bowl after years of playing in other BCS games. But the Ducks have a lot to live up to after USC dominated the Rose Bowl for many years. I believe LaMichael James for Oregon, along with Masoli will be the difference as they have been all year and after a slow start they will get things rolling for the Ducks in a big second half to pull out the win and cover. Ohio State has lost three straight BCS games while Oregon has won two straight bowls and won their last trip to the BCS in the Fiesta Bowl in 2002. They have not won a Rose Bowl in decades though so the Oregon faithful will have much to cheer about on their way home from Pasadena. Oregon 33 - Ohio State 27
Sugar Bowl
Florida (-10) vs. Cincinnati
This is the Turmoil Bowl, with Cinci coach Brian Kelly watching from his new couch in South Bend and Florida wondering if Urban Meyer will be coaching next year. Both teams should have all the emotions flowing as they are led by strong senior classes with QBs Tim Tebow and Tony Pike the leaders. I think the game comes down to Florida being able to control the game on offense, with Cinci's defense being exposed the last month of the season. While the Bearcats have an explosive offense themselves, they won't have the same success against a nasty Gators defense wanting to make up for the SEC Championship debacle. Whereas last year Alabama lost the SEC and went on to get upset by Utah in the Sugar Bowl, I don't think the same thing happens to Florida with Tebow playing his final college game and the situation with Meyer. Also, Alabama was heartbroken after a tough, hard fought loss last year, while Florida was soundly beaten and should be motivated by the loss that ruined their dream season. Expect Tebow to go out on top and the Gator contingent to be partying on Bourbon Street deep into the night. Florida 48 - Cincinnati 27
Cotton Bowl - Saturday
Ole Miss (-3) vs. Oklahoma State
This should be an exciting game with both teams represented well in the first Cotton Bowl at Cowboys Stadium. The Big 12 though has lost both previous college games played in the stadium, with Oklahoma and Texas A&M losing to BYU and Arkansas respectively. This game features two QBs that lead their team and when they play poorly usually their team follows. Both teams lost their rivalry games to end their seasons and should come out motivated to end on a good note. Ole Miss upset Texas Tech in this game last year and should be happy to be back. I expect Jevan Snead to have a big game in his final showing for Ole Miss and Dexter McCluster to be involved early and often for the Rebel offense. Without many weapons it will be hard for the Cowboys to match up to a stingy Ole Miss defense. Expect a good effort by both teams with the more talented Rebels coming out on top. Ole Miss 31 - Oklahoma State 23
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
New Year's Eve Bowl Games
Sun Bowl
Stanford (+10) vs. Oklahoma
Stanford is without starting QB Andrew Luck for the game, which is one reason why the line is favoring the Sooners by double digits. Heisman runner-up Toby Gerhart will have to shoulder a big load against the 7th ranked defense in the nation and for Stanford they will be happy to be back in a Bowl game for the first time since 2001. Oklahoma has to be dissappointed with the Sun Bowl after hopes of playing in the BCS for the fifth year in a row. Injuries and inconsistency have plagued the Sooners and even with a ton of NFL talent you have to wonder what their mindset will be on New Year's Eve morning in El Paso. We should know early whether they came to play as Stanford won't hesitate to play physical and run right at the Sooners as they have all year in the Pac 10. The game is big for Jim Harbaugh and the Cardinal, who want to represent the Pac 10 well after some embarrassing losses so far this bowl season, and to build on next year and send Gerhart out on a high note. I expect an offensive shootout with the Cardinal able to stay in the game with surprising play from QB Tavita Pritchard and Gerhart shouldering a large load on the ground. If Stanford's defense can get enough stops and avoid the long touchdowns and big plays from Landry Jones and DeMarco Murray, I believe the Cardinal has a chance at the upset. Bob Stoops has lost 4 straight Bowl games, all in the BCS, so will a step down inspire him and his team or will Stanford be too much for an unfocused Oklahoma squad? The Pac 10 has won five straight in the Sun Bowl. Watch for some early fireworks on New Year's Eve with the Sun Bowl and take the points and hope Stanford keeps it close.
Chick Fil-A Bowl (Peach Bowl)
Tennessee (+6) vs. Virginia Tech
The Volunteers should be very happy to be in this bowl in Lane Kiffin's first year and my guess is they have improved greatly in the time off. Virginia Tech is outside of the BCS for the first time in years, but should be happy with a trip to Atlanta. I believe these teams are more even than the spread indicates and with the SEC winning four straight in this bowl I think they have a good chance at the upset. Either way the game should be close with the defenses and special teams playing a big role in who wins. I like the Vols chances and will gladly take 6 points. Virginia Tech 23 - Tennessee 21
Stanford (+10) vs. Oklahoma
Stanford is without starting QB Andrew Luck for the game, which is one reason why the line is favoring the Sooners by double digits. Heisman runner-up Toby Gerhart will have to shoulder a big load against the 7th ranked defense in the nation and for Stanford they will be happy to be back in a Bowl game for the first time since 2001. Oklahoma has to be dissappointed with the Sun Bowl after hopes of playing in the BCS for the fifth year in a row. Injuries and inconsistency have plagued the Sooners and even with a ton of NFL talent you have to wonder what their mindset will be on New Year's Eve morning in El Paso. We should know early whether they came to play as Stanford won't hesitate to play physical and run right at the Sooners as they have all year in the Pac 10. The game is big for Jim Harbaugh and the Cardinal, who want to represent the Pac 10 well after some embarrassing losses so far this bowl season, and to build on next year and send Gerhart out on a high note. I expect an offensive shootout with the Cardinal able to stay in the game with surprising play from QB Tavita Pritchard and Gerhart shouldering a large load on the ground. If Stanford's defense can get enough stops and avoid the long touchdowns and big plays from Landry Jones and DeMarco Murray, I believe the Cardinal has a chance at the upset. Bob Stoops has lost 4 straight Bowl games, all in the BCS, so will a step down inspire him and his team or will Stanford be too much for an unfocused Oklahoma squad? The Pac 10 has won five straight in the Sun Bowl. Watch for some early fireworks on New Year's Eve with the Sun Bowl and take the points and hope Stanford keeps it close.
Chick Fil-A Bowl (Peach Bowl)
Tennessee (+6) vs. Virginia Tech
The Volunteers should be very happy to be in this bowl in Lane Kiffin's first year and my guess is they have improved greatly in the time off. Virginia Tech is outside of the BCS for the first time in years, but should be happy with a trip to Atlanta. I believe these teams are more even than the spread indicates and with the SEC winning four straight in this bowl I think they have a good chance at the upset. Either way the game should be close with the defenses and special teams playing a big role in who wins. I like the Vols chances and will gladly take 6 points. Virginia Tech 23 - Tennessee 21
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Bowl Week Continues...
Champs Sports Bowl - Tuesday
Miami (-3) vs. Wisconsin
Look for Miami to be inspired by the ghosts of Canes past after the premiere of the documentary "The U" on ESPN. Playing in their home state at the Citrus Bowl in Orlando should be a nice advantage for the Hurricanes even though Wisconsin will have a nice contingent as well. The difference in the teams on the field will be the speed of the Hurricanes on offense led by Jacory Harris. Look for Miami to jump out to a lead and hold on with their defense. The Badgers should have a better showing than last year in this same bowl against Florida State, a rout that Wisconsin would like to forget. But Miami has stopped opposing runners consistently this season, which is what the Badgers would like to do with Big 10 Offensive Player of the Year John Clay. If they can't get him going it will be a long day for the the faithful from Madison. Expect a well-played game from both sides but the Canes getting the last laugh, as they often did in the days of the "U". Miami 33 - Wisconsin 24
Holiday Bowl - Wednesday
Nebraska (-1) vs. Arizona
This line is climbing as the betting public seems to like the Huskers. The Holiday Bowl always seems to be a great game, usually of the high scoring variety as it was last year when Oregon beat Oklahoma State. This year though both teams are led by their defense, with Nebraska second in the nation in points allowed. Arizona lost their defensive coordinator before the game so Mike Stoops will coach his first game without his brother Mark next to him. On the other side Nebraska should be hungry to prove on the field that they could be playing in the BCS after the last second loss to Texas. The Cornhuskers truly believe they could have won all but the Texas Tech game (losing to Virginia Tech, Iowa State and Texas were all winnable games in Bo Pelini'eyes) and they have good reason to believe they can play with any team with their defense leading the way. Ndamukong Suh will get a lot of publicity in this game after his AP Player of the Year award, a first for a defensive player and his showing in the Heisman balloting. Nebraska has said they will use two QBs in the game in a hope that the extra practice has improved an offense that was lackluster most of the season. Arizona will be a tough test with a strong running game and QB Nick Foles having a great season. I think both teams have something to prove, but in the end Nebraska and Bo Pelini have shown they can win Bowl games as he upset Clemson last year in the Gator Bowl and Michigan in 2003 as interim coach in the Alamo Bowl. Arizona beat BYU last year in Stoops' first Bowl as coach but the team didn't play in a bowl since 1998 before that. I expect a great game with Nebraska able to hold off the Wildcats in a defensive struggle with a few big plays to make in interesting. Nebraska 20 - Arizona 16
Miami (-3) vs. Wisconsin
Look for Miami to be inspired by the ghosts of Canes past after the premiere of the documentary "The U" on ESPN. Playing in their home state at the Citrus Bowl in Orlando should be a nice advantage for the Hurricanes even though Wisconsin will have a nice contingent as well. The difference in the teams on the field will be the speed of the Hurricanes on offense led by Jacory Harris. Look for Miami to jump out to a lead and hold on with their defense. The Badgers should have a better showing than last year in this same bowl against Florida State, a rout that Wisconsin would like to forget. But Miami has stopped opposing runners consistently this season, which is what the Badgers would like to do with Big 10 Offensive Player of the Year John Clay. If they can't get him going it will be a long day for the the faithful from Madison. Expect a well-played game from both sides but the Canes getting the last laugh, as they often did in the days of the "U". Miami 33 - Wisconsin 24
Holiday Bowl - Wednesday
Nebraska (-1) vs. Arizona
This line is climbing as the betting public seems to like the Huskers. The Holiday Bowl always seems to be a great game, usually of the high scoring variety as it was last year when Oregon beat Oklahoma State. This year though both teams are led by their defense, with Nebraska second in the nation in points allowed. Arizona lost their defensive coordinator before the game so Mike Stoops will coach his first game without his brother Mark next to him. On the other side Nebraska should be hungry to prove on the field that they could be playing in the BCS after the last second loss to Texas. The Cornhuskers truly believe they could have won all but the Texas Tech game (losing to Virginia Tech, Iowa State and Texas were all winnable games in Bo Pelini'eyes) and they have good reason to believe they can play with any team with their defense leading the way. Ndamukong Suh will get a lot of publicity in this game after his AP Player of the Year award, a first for a defensive player and his showing in the Heisman balloting. Nebraska has said they will use two QBs in the game in a hope that the extra practice has improved an offense that was lackluster most of the season. Arizona will be a tough test with a strong running game and QB Nick Foles having a great season. I think both teams have something to prove, but in the end Nebraska and Bo Pelini have shown they can win Bowl games as he upset Clemson last year in the Gator Bowl and Michigan in 2003 as interim coach in the Alamo Bowl. Arizona beat BYU last year in Stoops' first Bowl as coach but the team didn't play in a bowl since 1998 before that. I expect a great game with Nebraska able to hold off the Wildcats in a defensive struggle with a few big plays to make in interesting. Nebraska 20 - Arizona 16
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Las Vegas Bowl
BYU vs. Oregon State (-2.5)
Both teams come into the Las Vegas Bowl having dreamed of taking the field on New Year's Day, not three days before Christmas. It is the fifth straight year BYU fans are heading to Sin City for their Bowl game and my guess is they don't get as much out of the trip as other fans might. The Cougars have split the four previous games, losing last year 31-21 to Arizona. Meanwhile Oregon State has won five consecutive Bowl games under Coach Mike Riley and although they must be very dissappointed having had a chance to be playing in the Rose Bowl, the Beavers should still be ready to go. Led by All Pac 10 peformers RB Jazquizz Rodgers, WR James Rodgers and QB Sean Canfield, I expect the Beavers offense to heat up the Las Vegas night. The Cougars offense is also capable of putting quick points on the board, but if OSU's defense can put any pressure on QB Max Hall then the Beavers should be the last team standing. BYU has struggled in its losses to Florida State and TCU with protecting the QB and giving up big plays. OSU is capable of the big play and I expect them to get off to a quick start using the Rodgers brothers early and often. Oregon State 38 - BYU 30
Both teams come into the Las Vegas Bowl having dreamed of taking the field on New Year's Day, not three days before Christmas. It is the fifth straight year BYU fans are heading to Sin City for their Bowl game and my guess is they don't get as much out of the trip as other fans might. The Cougars have split the four previous games, losing last year 31-21 to Arizona. Meanwhile Oregon State has won five consecutive Bowl games under Coach Mike Riley and although they must be very dissappointed having had a chance to be playing in the Rose Bowl, the Beavers should still be ready to go. Led by All Pac 10 peformers RB Jazquizz Rodgers, WR James Rodgers and QB Sean Canfield, I expect the Beavers offense to heat up the Las Vegas night. The Cougars offense is also capable of putting quick points on the board, but if OSU's defense can put any pressure on QB Max Hall then the Beavers should be the last team standing. BYU has struggled in its losses to Florida State and TCU with protecting the QB and giving up big plays. OSU is capable of the big play and I expect them to get off to a quick start using the Rodgers brothers early and often. Oregon State 38 - BYU 30
Friday, December 18, 2009
Bowl Season Week 1
New Mexico Bowl
Wyoming vs. Fresno State (-10)
Fresno Coach Pat Hill received a contract extension after the regular season and should have the pressure off him and his team for the Bowl game. The Bulldogs lost this bowl game last year as favorites to Colorado State and with that in mind should come more prepared to win this year. With RB Ryan Matthews leading the way there is no doubt in my mind that Fresno State can score and run over the Cowboys, whether they can cover is another question. Wyoming is being outscored by almost 11 points this year and managed to get to 6-6 with close wins over the bad teams on their schedule. But they were 8-3 ATS, so bet against them at your own peril. Despite being overmatched they have managed to cover most of the year. Ten points is a lot to lay on a Fresno team having trouble stopping anyone, but I will give the points and hope for a rejuvenated Bulldogs team that played a tough schedule all year and now has had time to heal up and rest. Fresno State 37 - Wyoming 24
St. Petersburg Bowl
UCF (+3) vs. Rutgers
Rutgers comes into this game disappointed with not going to a more prestigious bowl game, while UCF is happy to be playing close to home, in front of family and friends and against a Big East opponent. Coach George O'Leary should have his team motivated to show they can play with the big boys as there are rumors the Big East is interested in expanding and UCF is on the radar. UCF is 9-3 ATS this season and comes into the game winning 3 in a row after losing to Texas. Rutgers had a great season going until late losses to Syracuse and West Virginia. With Rutgers' star WR questionable for the game I believe the intangibles favor UCF far too much to overlook. Look for RB Brynn Harvey to have a big game on the ground and UCF, playing with extra motivation, to pull the upset in St. Pete. UCF 30 - Rutgers 28
New Orleans Bowl
Middle Tennessee State vs Southern Mississippi (-3.5)
The Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee have been a surprise team out of the Sun Belt this year, ammassing a 9-win season and winning 6 in a row to finish. They are also 9-3 ATS while Southern Miss is 7-5 and had a disappointing finish to the season with losses to Houston and East Carolina in November. Southern Miss though has won this bowl game 3 out of the last 5 years including last year over Troy, so they won't be in awe of playing in the Superdome. I think MTSU gives them a game for 3 quarters but ultimately the Golden Eagles have more talent and should find a way to come out on top. Southern Miss 27 - MTSU 23
These three Bowl games give the holiday weekend some cheer and prepare us for a great week before Christmas with a few of the more intriguing matchups coming on Tuesday and Wednesday with MWC vs Pac 10 Bowls. Utah - Cal and Oregon State - BYU will be entertaining games and showcases for those east of the Mississippi River that don't always get to see the quality of football in these conferences. More to come on those next week but for now enjoy the weekend with the NFL gearing up for its playoffs push and the Bowl Season just getting started. After Sunday there will be 3 down and 31 to go. Playoffs? Who's talking about the playoff? I'm just trying to win a game.
Wyoming vs. Fresno State (-10)
Fresno Coach Pat Hill received a contract extension after the regular season and should have the pressure off him and his team for the Bowl game. The Bulldogs lost this bowl game last year as favorites to Colorado State and with that in mind should come more prepared to win this year. With RB Ryan Matthews leading the way there is no doubt in my mind that Fresno State can score and run over the Cowboys, whether they can cover is another question. Wyoming is being outscored by almost 11 points this year and managed to get to 6-6 with close wins over the bad teams on their schedule. But they were 8-3 ATS, so bet against them at your own peril. Despite being overmatched they have managed to cover most of the year. Ten points is a lot to lay on a Fresno team having trouble stopping anyone, but I will give the points and hope for a rejuvenated Bulldogs team that played a tough schedule all year and now has had time to heal up and rest. Fresno State 37 - Wyoming 24
St. Petersburg Bowl
UCF (+3) vs. Rutgers
Rutgers comes into this game disappointed with not going to a more prestigious bowl game, while UCF is happy to be playing close to home, in front of family and friends and against a Big East opponent. Coach George O'Leary should have his team motivated to show they can play with the big boys as there are rumors the Big East is interested in expanding and UCF is on the radar. UCF is 9-3 ATS this season and comes into the game winning 3 in a row after losing to Texas. Rutgers had a great season going until late losses to Syracuse and West Virginia. With Rutgers' star WR questionable for the game I believe the intangibles favor UCF far too much to overlook. Look for RB Brynn Harvey to have a big game on the ground and UCF, playing with extra motivation, to pull the upset in St. Pete. UCF 30 - Rutgers 28
New Orleans Bowl
Middle Tennessee State vs Southern Mississippi (-3.5)
The Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee have been a surprise team out of the Sun Belt this year, ammassing a 9-win season and winning 6 in a row to finish. They are also 9-3 ATS while Southern Miss is 7-5 and had a disappointing finish to the season with losses to Houston and East Carolina in November. Southern Miss though has won this bowl game 3 out of the last 5 years including last year over Troy, so they won't be in awe of playing in the Superdome. I think MTSU gives them a game for 3 quarters but ultimately the Golden Eagles have more talent and should find a way to come out on top. Southern Miss 27 - MTSU 23
These three Bowl games give the holiday weekend some cheer and prepare us for a great week before Christmas with a few of the more intriguing matchups coming on Tuesday and Wednesday with MWC vs Pac 10 Bowls. Utah - Cal and Oregon State - BYU will be entertaining games and showcases for those east of the Mississippi River that don't always get to see the quality of football in these conferences. More to come on those next week but for now enjoy the weekend with the NFL gearing up for its playoffs push and the Bowl Season just getting started. After Sunday there will be 3 down and 31 to go. Playoffs? Who's talking about the playoff? I'm just trying to win a game.
Friday, December 4, 2009
College Football Championship Saturday
Championship Week is a term that media members in the College Basketball world made famous with the week of basketball before Selection Sunday, with Conference Tournaments to decide champions and teams vying for the chance to continue into March Madness and the NCAA Tournament. For the College Football world the first Saturday of December and the final Saturday of the season is Championship Saturday. This season, by luck of the schedule and matchups, there is no better Saturday to be stuck on the couch to watch exciting football that will determine Conference Championships, BCS Bowls and bragging rights for the cold winter ahead.
Originally intended to crown the “Super Conferences”, those that expanded to 12 teams and two divisions so as to play a Conference Championship and receive the sponsorship money that comes with it, this week is special because not only do the ACC, SEC and Big 12 (along with the smaller brethren of super conferences, the MAC and Conference USA) hold their Championship Games, we have been lucky to enjoy de-facto Championship games in the Pac 10, Oregon beating Oregon State last night, Big East (Cincinnati – Pittsburgh on Saturday) and last week Boise State beating Nevada for the WAC Championship. While the Boise State game had great meaning nationally, as the Broncos continued their quest for the BCS, Oregon’s dramatic win last night in the Civil War in Oregon had maybe the most meaning of any sporting event in state history. The Ducks won a close, hard-fought game to win the Pac 10 for the first time since 2001 and go to the Rose Bowl for the first time since 1995. The Beavers lost for the second year in a row to the Ducks with a chance for their first Rose Bowl since the Vietnam War was escalating troops as fast as Afghanistan is now. So without further ado here are the Saturday Lox for all the meaningful games on Saturday and all the storylines associated with a great final weekend of college football.
But first let’s take a moment to recap last week’s games and the final moments of Charlie Weis’ coaching career as yours truly witnessed in person.
Rivalry Week definitely lived up to the name as underdogs made the most of their chances to save their seasons with wins over favored and ranked rivals.
There was NC State beating rival UNC in a season in which nothing has gone right for the Wolf Pack as they watched the Tar Heels gain national rankings and exposure. But in this game the Wolf Pack looked like the better team and gave their fans plenty of bragging rights until basketball season at least.
Elsewhere in the Carolinas there was favorite Clemson, which has dominated in-state rival South Carolina, losing 34-17 in a game that Steve Spurrier needed to win to keep the critics off his back. As called on this page in my “Upsets” I thought Clemson might be looking ahead to the ACC Championship while South Carolina was looking at respectability and a better bowl game. The Gamecocks got both with the upset and now can breathe easier no matter what Clemson does on Saturday.
One state to the south the Battle for Georgia went to the underdog as well with the Georgia Bulldogs getting back at Tech for the upset in Athens last year. The Bulldogs needed a win to salvage their season and were playing with revenge while the Yellow Jackets were maybe looking ahead to Clemson in the ACC Championship. Either way the Bulldogs got the win with an interim mascot after their famous Bulldog “UGA” passed away before the Kentucky game the week before (http://www.ajc.com/sports/uga/a-thorough-search-will-208200.html ). Divine intervention from above or not, Georgia pulled off the upset and can now begin the quest for “UGA VIII” to represent the football team for next year. In these two rivalries at least the SEC showed their superiority over the ACC.
In an all SEC rivalry, Miss. State upset ranked and favored Ole Miss to cap a rebuilding year for first year coach Dan Mullen. Ole Miss continued its up and down season, but their fans are sure to be disappointed with several losses this year, most among them this rivalry game.
Finally in the story everyone knew was coming Charlie Weis coached his final game for Notre Dame at Stanford Stadium in Palo Alto and I was there to witness it. Despite a great game from Jimmy Clausen and Golden Tate the Irish could not stop Stanford and Heisman contender Toby Gerhart in the Cardinal’s comeback, 45-38 win. This game was a microcosm of Weis’ final 3 years as the Irish couldn’t win a close game and their defense was no match for a good offense. Before the Irish get back to respectability they will need to build their team around defense as Toby Gerhart’s 205 rushing yards and four total TDs showed, including a TD pass on 4th down while trailing by 8 in the 4th quarter.
Jimmy Clausen came into the game with a black eye suffered when he was sucker-punched outside a South Bend pub after the loss to UCONN, but he left the game with a black mark on his reputation. Even though he threw for 5 TDs and had a great game it was Clausen’s nonstop jawing at the Stanford bench and showboating with the ND cheerleaders after scores that got the most attention. For a QB that went 3-9, 6-6 and now 6-6 in his three seasons at ND, Jimmy Clausen sure likes to celebrate and show up opposing teams. Chances are he will not be back for his senior season under a new head coach, and that could be a good thing for Irish fans as he is clearly not a leader as a football player and seemed to care more about his stats than the outcome of a game. One observation from sitting in the stands to watch this game is that Notre Dame fans and alumni may travel well and gobble up a majority of seats in visiting stadiums, but the fans and the players do not represent the school the way Joe Montana or Lou Holtz once did. Fans were cheering when a Stanford player was injured and the way they celebrated in the stands and on the field was amateur at best for a team that was 6-5 and going on 6-6. Golden Tate and Jimmy Clausen can high-five cheerleaders and carry the ND flag after TDs all they want, but losing to Stanford, UCONN and Navy will not make those celebrations last long. These players are maybe the only in America that could learn something from the way USC celebrates. At least wait until you win.
A great ending to a magical season on the Farm for Stanford and a fitting end to the career of Charlie Weis and hopefully for college football Jimmy Clausen. As I stood outside the stadium after the game, drinking the last of the cold drinks in the ice chest and soaking in the atmosphere of a great college football game, out walked Jim Harbaugh through the parking lot. In my excitement I quickly strode over and held out my hand to Coach Harbaugh: “Congrats on the win, Jim. A few more years on the Farm!” Without breaking stride he was happy to receive the handshake and praise and seemed to shrug off the suggestion he will leave for greener pastures. The offers will be there after a memorable season for Stanford football, but Jim might find his best opportunity is right in front of him and not in the NFL or at a college football powerhouse. Maybe all he needs to do is give former Stanford coach Tyrone Willingham a call. They can discuss Stanford’s bowl game while they are at it, Willingham was the last coach to lead Stanford to the postseason.
Saturday Lox of Championship Week
SEC Championship Game in Atlanta
Florida (-5) vs. Alabama
The top-ranked teams. Two Heisman Trophy Candidates. National Championship Invitation. The SEC once again will be the center of the college football world for an afternoon from the Georgia Dome as Florida takes on Alabama in a rematch of a classic game from a year ago. Florida may not have the same quick-strike offense as a year ago but they have surgically beaten every team on their schedule with only Arkansas making them sweat with a nail-biting finish. Alabama on the other hand started the year with impressive victories but has run into steep challenges towards the end of their undefeated regular season. Auburn looked like they might pull the upset last week but came up just short while LSU and Tennessee both played with them until the end. Both teams showcase a Heisman trophy candidate with Mark Ingram leading many ballots before his implosion last week with just 30 yards rushing and an injury. Tim Tebow does not have the stats to match last season but that is mostly because of his injury absence and a lack of explosiveness from the entire Florida offense. Both coaches also boast a National Championship or two in the decade with Urban Meyer winning two of the last three and Nick Saban claiming one for LSU in 2003. There is not much that seems to separate these two powerhouse teams. Both have highly ranked defenses with NFL talent at every position. Florida will play without their best lineman Carlos Dunlap, who was suspended after his arrest for DUI last week. The special teams for both also are dangerous with Javier Arenas for the Tide and Brandon James for the Gators. Either or both could make the difference for their team in this game.
I believe the deciding factor will be Florida’s ability to stop WR Julio Jones, who had 124 yards last year and would most likely have been the Player of the Game had the Tide won. Florida has NFL talent at CB with Joe Haden leading the way but he is undersized and the 6’4” Jones will be a handful. If Mark Ingram is healthy the Gators will be forced to bring their safeties up to stop the run and it will be up to Haden to stop Jones in single coverage. For the Gators I believe Tebow’s ability to consistently gain positive yards running the football and once successful finding the big play in the air will be the difference. Aaron Hernandez is the big target that Tebow looks to in clutch situations and this game he will be needed most. Urban Meyer will have enough tricks up his sleeve and Tim Tebow will show once again why he is the best leader in College Football. Florida will get the job done with Alabama staying close all game but not having enough in the fourth quarter. Florida 27 – Alabama 20
Big 12 Championship Game in Dallas
Nebraska (+14.5) vs. Texas
This is a rematch of the first Big 12 Championship in 1996. Nebraska came in to that game highly ranked and favored, but were beaten by 10 points in an upset that brought Priest Holmes onto the national scene (They also met in 1999, the last time Nebraska won the Big 12 Title). The roles are reversed this year with Texas assured of a chance at the National Championship game with a win and the Cornhuskers trying to gain national respect with an upset. Nebraska comes in with 3 losses but feel they could easily be 11-1 after self-inflicted losses to Iowa State (8 Turnovers) and Virginia Tech (defensive mistakes in final seconds). Texas has gone through their schedule unblemished but a closer look finds an easy road to this game with their best competition hurt by injury (Oklahoma) and suspension (Oklahoma State). The Longhorns really didn’t click on offense until after the Sooners win with Colt McCoy struggling at the beginning with turnovers, inaccuracy and bad decisions. I said it then that McCoy should not be up for the Heisman, but a month or so later and here he is the leader to many. Their big win besides the Sooner rivalry game was the thrashing of Oklahoma State, but that was tempered by the fact the Cowboys were without their two best weapons, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. Now Texas faces possibly the best defense they will see all year. Led by the defensive line and Ndamukong Suh, the Cornhuskers are a force with Bo Pelini calling the shots. They also have a healthy offense for the first time in months with RBs Roy Helu and Rex Burkhead both playing in their win over Colorado last week.
I expect Texas to have more trouble on offense than they have in months, with McCoy throwing a few interceptions and the running game not able to get going. Jordan Shipley will be a tough matchup for the Nebraska secondary, but Texas will need more than him to make plays. Nebraska’s offense will also struggle against a stout Longhorns unit, but with Zac Lee playing confident behind center and the RBs healthy at last I think Nebraska can put up enough points to stay close and have a chance in the fourth quarter. Unlike most media members, I believe the chance at the upset is there and if Nebraska can win the turnover margin, make a few plays on special teams and control the clock with their running game, they have a chance to return to national prominence. Bo Pelini has taken back the Big 12 North this year and now wants to accomplish his ultimate goal of taking back the Big 12. The chance is there in Primetime on Saturday and nothing would be better than to ruin Texas’ shot at a Championship and end Colt McCoy’s dream of a Heisman. Nebraska 29 – Texas 28
ACC Championship Game in Tampa Bay
Georgia Tech (+1) vs. Clemson
These two teams played a great game in September with Georgia Tech prevailing at home by a field goal. Now after both teams were upset last week the Yellow Jackets find themselves as the underdog, by a point. But I like the Yellow Jackets this time even with QB Josh Nesbitt slowed by an ankle injury. The difference for GT will be the passing of Nesbitt with Clemson so focused on stopping the option running that Nesbitt is able to have a big game through the air. CJ Spiller will have a good game for Clemson in his long-shot bid for the Heisman but in the end GT will have enough for the victory. Georgia Tech 31 – Clemson 30
Cincinnati (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
The Bengals visit the Steelers in a December matchup with the Division on the line. Oops. This is college football and the two cities that are usually fighting over AFC North bragging rights in December this time will be playing for a chance at the Big East Title and the BCS. Pitt was upset in the Backyard Brawl by West Virginia last week, but still can win the Big East by handing the Bearcats their first loss. The home field will be an advantage for the Panthers and the distractions with Cinci Coach Brian Kelly being rumored to Notre Dame can’t help their preparation, but the Bearcats have one goal in mind and I believe they are the better team. QB Tony Pike will start and look for him to throw the ball all over the field as he did last week against Illinois in his return from injury. WR Mardy Gilyard will have another big game for the Bearcats as well. Pitt’s defense is good but it is not the Steel Curtain of Pittsburgh lore, while their offense is led by a freshman RB in Dion Lewis. Both will not be enough to stop the Bearcats perfect season and a second consecutive Big East title. Cincinnati 34 – Pittsburgh 31
Houston (-3.5) vs. East Carolina – Conference USA Championship
Houston comes in with the better record and the national attention after knocking off Oklahoma State and Texas Tech earlier in the year. Skip Holtz has done another tremendous job with East Carolina this season. I believe talent wins out here with Houston behind Case Keenum getting the job done over the Pirates. Houston 38 – East Carolina 31
Washington (+7) vs. California
The Huskies have improved greatly in their first year, but since the USC win in September have not played consistently enough for a bowl game. A win here though would give them a 5-7 record and wins over two ranked teams. Cal will be without Jahvid Best again and is off a huge win over rival Stanford. Kevin Riley and RB Shane Vereen played great in the upset and will now travel to Seattle after a week off for the holidays. Cal has been a mediocre road team this year while the Huskies have brought back the home-field advantage to Husky Stadium. Look for a battle of two good offenses with Cal earning a win in Seattle, but not enough to cover. California 31 – Washington 27
Originally intended to crown the “Super Conferences”, those that expanded to 12 teams and two divisions so as to play a Conference Championship and receive the sponsorship money that comes with it, this week is special because not only do the ACC, SEC and Big 12 (along with the smaller brethren of super conferences, the MAC and Conference USA) hold their Championship Games, we have been lucky to enjoy de-facto Championship games in the Pac 10, Oregon beating Oregon State last night, Big East (Cincinnati – Pittsburgh on Saturday) and last week Boise State beating Nevada for the WAC Championship. While the Boise State game had great meaning nationally, as the Broncos continued their quest for the BCS, Oregon’s dramatic win last night in the Civil War in Oregon had maybe the most meaning of any sporting event in state history. The Ducks won a close, hard-fought game to win the Pac 10 for the first time since 2001 and go to the Rose Bowl for the first time since 1995. The Beavers lost for the second year in a row to the Ducks with a chance for their first Rose Bowl since the Vietnam War was escalating troops as fast as Afghanistan is now. So without further ado here are the Saturday Lox for all the meaningful games on Saturday and all the storylines associated with a great final weekend of college football.
But first let’s take a moment to recap last week’s games and the final moments of Charlie Weis’ coaching career as yours truly witnessed in person.
Rivalry Week definitely lived up to the name as underdogs made the most of their chances to save their seasons with wins over favored and ranked rivals.
There was NC State beating rival UNC in a season in which nothing has gone right for the Wolf Pack as they watched the Tar Heels gain national rankings and exposure. But in this game the Wolf Pack looked like the better team and gave their fans plenty of bragging rights until basketball season at least.
Elsewhere in the Carolinas there was favorite Clemson, which has dominated in-state rival South Carolina, losing 34-17 in a game that Steve Spurrier needed to win to keep the critics off his back. As called on this page in my “Upsets” I thought Clemson might be looking ahead to the ACC Championship while South Carolina was looking at respectability and a better bowl game. The Gamecocks got both with the upset and now can breathe easier no matter what Clemson does on Saturday.
One state to the south the Battle for Georgia went to the underdog as well with the Georgia Bulldogs getting back at Tech for the upset in Athens last year. The Bulldogs needed a win to salvage their season and were playing with revenge while the Yellow Jackets were maybe looking ahead to Clemson in the ACC Championship. Either way the Bulldogs got the win with an interim mascot after their famous Bulldog “UGA” passed away before the Kentucky game the week before (http://www.ajc.com/sports/uga/a-thorough-search-will-208200.html ). Divine intervention from above or not, Georgia pulled off the upset and can now begin the quest for “UGA VIII” to represent the football team for next year. In these two rivalries at least the SEC showed their superiority over the ACC.
In an all SEC rivalry, Miss. State upset ranked and favored Ole Miss to cap a rebuilding year for first year coach Dan Mullen. Ole Miss continued its up and down season, but their fans are sure to be disappointed with several losses this year, most among them this rivalry game.
Finally in the story everyone knew was coming Charlie Weis coached his final game for Notre Dame at Stanford Stadium in Palo Alto and I was there to witness it. Despite a great game from Jimmy Clausen and Golden Tate the Irish could not stop Stanford and Heisman contender Toby Gerhart in the Cardinal’s comeback, 45-38 win. This game was a microcosm of Weis’ final 3 years as the Irish couldn’t win a close game and their defense was no match for a good offense. Before the Irish get back to respectability they will need to build their team around defense as Toby Gerhart’s 205 rushing yards and four total TDs showed, including a TD pass on 4th down while trailing by 8 in the 4th quarter.
Jimmy Clausen came into the game with a black eye suffered when he was sucker-punched outside a South Bend pub after the loss to UCONN, but he left the game with a black mark on his reputation. Even though he threw for 5 TDs and had a great game it was Clausen’s nonstop jawing at the Stanford bench and showboating with the ND cheerleaders after scores that got the most attention. For a QB that went 3-9, 6-6 and now 6-6 in his three seasons at ND, Jimmy Clausen sure likes to celebrate and show up opposing teams. Chances are he will not be back for his senior season under a new head coach, and that could be a good thing for Irish fans as he is clearly not a leader as a football player and seemed to care more about his stats than the outcome of a game. One observation from sitting in the stands to watch this game is that Notre Dame fans and alumni may travel well and gobble up a majority of seats in visiting stadiums, but the fans and the players do not represent the school the way Joe Montana or Lou Holtz once did. Fans were cheering when a Stanford player was injured and the way they celebrated in the stands and on the field was amateur at best for a team that was 6-5 and going on 6-6. Golden Tate and Jimmy Clausen can high-five cheerleaders and carry the ND flag after TDs all they want, but losing to Stanford, UCONN and Navy will not make those celebrations last long. These players are maybe the only in America that could learn something from the way USC celebrates. At least wait until you win.
A great ending to a magical season on the Farm for Stanford and a fitting end to the career of Charlie Weis and hopefully for college football Jimmy Clausen. As I stood outside the stadium after the game, drinking the last of the cold drinks in the ice chest and soaking in the atmosphere of a great college football game, out walked Jim Harbaugh through the parking lot. In my excitement I quickly strode over and held out my hand to Coach Harbaugh: “Congrats on the win, Jim. A few more years on the Farm!” Without breaking stride he was happy to receive the handshake and praise and seemed to shrug off the suggestion he will leave for greener pastures. The offers will be there after a memorable season for Stanford football, but Jim might find his best opportunity is right in front of him and not in the NFL or at a college football powerhouse. Maybe all he needs to do is give former Stanford coach Tyrone Willingham a call. They can discuss Stanford’s bowl game while they are at it, Willingham was the last coach to lead Stanford to the postseason.
Saturday Lox of Championship Week
SEC Championship Game in Atlanta
Florida (-5) vs. Alabama
The top-ranked teams. Two Heisman Trophy Candidates. National Championship Invitation. The SEC once again will be the center of the college football world for an afternoon from the Georgia Dome as Florida takes on Alabama in a rematch of a classic game from a year ago. Florida may not have the same quick-strike offense as a year ago but they have surgically beaten every team on their schedule with only Arkansas making them sweat with a nail-biting finish. Alabama on the other hand started the year with impressive victories but has run into steep challenges towards the end of their undefeated regular season. Auburn looked like they might pull the upset last week but came up just short while LSU and Tennessee both played with them until the end. Both teams showcase a Heisman trophy candidate with Mark Ingram leading many ballots before his implosion last week with just 30 yards rushing and an injury. Tim Tebow does not have the stats to match last season but that is mostly because of his injury absence and a lack of explosiveness from the entire Florida offense. Both coaches also boast a National Championship or two in the decade with Urban Meyer winning two of the last three and Nick Saban claiming one for LSU in 2003. There is not much that seems to separate these two powerhouse teams. Both have highly ranked defenses with NFL talent at every position. Florida will play without their best lineman Carlos Dunlap, who was suspended after his arrest for DUI last week. The special teams for both also are dangerous with Javier Arenas for the Tide and Brandon James for the Gators. Either or both could make the difference for their team in this game.
I believe the deciding factor will be Florida’s ability to stop WR Julio Jones, who had 124 yards last year and would most likely have been the Player of the Game had the Tide won. Florida has NFL talent at CB with Joe Haden leading the way but he is undersized and the 6’4” Jones will be a handful. If Mark Ingram is healthy the Gators will be forced to bring their safeties up to stop the run and it will be up to Haden to stop Jones in single coverage. For the Gators I believe Tebow’s ability to consistently gain positive yards running the football and once successful finding the big play in the air will be the difference. Aaron Hernandez is the big target that Tebow looks to in clutch situations and this game he will be needed most. Urban Meyer will have enough tricks up his sleeve and Tim Tebow will show once again why he is the best leader in College Football. Florida will get the job done with Alabama staying close all game but not having enough in the fourth quarter. Florida 27 – Alabama 20
Big 12 Championship Game in Dallas
Nebraska (+14.5) vs. Texas
This is a rematch of the first Big 12 Championship in 1996. Nebraska came in to that game highly ranked and favored, but were beaten by 10 points in an upset that brought Priest Holmes onto the national scene (They also met in 1999, the last time Nebraska won the Big 12 Title). The roles are reversed this year with Texas assured of a chance at the National Championship game with a win and the Cornhuskers trying to gain national respect with an upset. Nebraska comes in with 3 losses but feel they could easily be 11-1 after self-inflicted losses to Iowa State (8 Turnovers) and Virginia Tech (defensive mistakes in final seconds). Texas has gone through their schedule unblemished but a closer look finds an easy road to this game with their best competition hurt by injury (Oklahoma) and suspension (Oklahoma State). The Longhorns really didn’t click on offense until after the Sooners win with Colt McCoy struggling at the beginning with turnovers, inaccuracy and bad decisions. I said it then that McCoy should not be up for the Heisman, but a month or so later and here he is the leader to many. Their big win besides the Sooner rivalry game was the thrashing of Oklahoma State, but that was tempered by the fact the Cowboys were without their two best weapons, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. Now Texas faces possibly the best defense they will see all year. Led by the defensive line and Ndamukong Suh, the Cornhuskers are a force with Bo Pelini calling the shots. They also have a healthy offense for the first time in months with RBs Roy Helu and Rex Burkhead both playing in their win over Colorado last week.
I expect Texas to have more trouble on offense than they have in months, with McCoy throwing a few interceptions and the running game not able to get going. Jordan Shipley will be a tough matchup for the Nebraska secondary, but Texas will need more than him to make plays. Nebraska’s offense will also struggle against a stout Longhorns unit, but with Zac Lee playing confident behind center and the RBs healthy at last I think Nebraska can put up enough points to stay close and have a chance in the fourth quarter. Unlike most media members, I believe the chance at the upset is there and if Nebraska can win the turnover margin, make a few plays on special teams and control the clock with their running game, they have a chance to return to national prominence. Bo Pelini has taken back the Big 12 North this year and now wants to accomplish his ultimate goal of taking back the Big 12. The chance is there in Primetime on Saturday and nothing would be better than to ruin Texas’ shot at a Championship and end Colt McCoy’s dream of a Heisman. Nebraska 29 – Texas 28
ACC Championship Game in Tampa Bay
Georgia Tech (+1) vs. Clemson
These two teams played a great game in September with Georgia Tech prevailing at home by a field goal. Now after both teams were upset last week the Yellow Jackets find themselves as the underdog, by a point. But I like the Yellow Jackets this time even with QB Josh Nesbitt slowed by an ankle injury. The difference for GT will be the passing of Nesbitt with Clemson so focused on stopping the option running that Nesbitt is able to have a big game through the air. CJ Spiller will have a good game for Clemson in his long-shot bid for the Heisman but in the end GT will have enough for the victory. Georgia Tech 31 – Clemson 30
Cincinnati (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
The Bengals visit the Steelers in a December matchup with the Division on the line. Oops. This is college football and the two cities that are usually fighting over AFC North bragging rights in December this time will be playing for a chance at the Big East Title and the BCS. Pitt was upset in the Backyard Brawl by West Virginia last week, but still can win the Big East by handing the Bearcats their first loss. The home field will be an advantage for the Panthers and the distractions with Cinci Coach Brian Kelly being rumored to Notre Dame can’t help their preparation, but the Bearcats have one goal in mind and I believe they are the better team. QB Tony Pike will start and look for him to throw the ball all over the field as he did last week against Illinois in his return from injury. WR Mardy Gilyard will have another big game for the Bearcats as well. Pitt’s defense is good but it is not the Steel Curtain of Pittsburgh lore, while their offense is led by a freshman RB in Dion Lewis. Both will not be enough to stop the Bearcats perfect season and a second consecutive Big East title. Cincinnati 34 – Pittsburgh 31
Houston (-3.5) vs. East Carolina – Conference USA Championship
Houston comes in with the better record and the national attention after knocking off Oklahoma State and Texas Tech earlier in the year. Skip Holtz has done another tremendous job with East Carolina this season. I believe talent wins out here with Houston behind Case Keenum getting the job done over the Pirates. Houston 38 – East Carolina 31
Washington (+7) vs. California
The Huskies have improved greatly in their first year, but since the USC win in September have not played consistently enough for a bowl game. A win here though would give them a 5-7 record and wins over two ranked teams. Cal will be without Jahvid Best again and is off a huge win over rival Stanford. Kevin Riley and RB Shane Vereen played great in the upset and will now travel to Seattle after a week off for the holidays. Cal has been a mediocre road team this year while the Huskies have brought back the home-field advantage to Husky Stadium. Look for a battle of two good offenses with Cal earning a win in Seattle, but not enough to cover. California 31 – Washington 27
